Top 200 prospects mlb

Top 200 prospects mlb DEFAULT
RankPlayerPositionTeamLeveletaAgeHeight / WeightBatsThrows
Photo headshot of Adley Rutschman

Adley Rutschman

Baltimore Orioles Logo

Baltimore Orioles

2021236' 2" / 220 lbsSR
Photo headshot of Julio Rodriguez

Julio Rodriguez

Seattle Mariners Logo

Seattle Mariners

2022206' 3" / 180 lbsRR
Photo headshot of Bobby Witt

Bobby Witt

Kansas City Royals Logo

Kansas City Royals

2022216' 1" / 200 lbsRR
Photo headshot of Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson

Detroit Tigers Logo

Detroit Tigers

2022226' 1" / 220 lbsRR
Photo headshot of Marco Luciano

Marco Luciano

San Francisco Giants Logo

San Francisco Giants

2023206' 2" / 178 lbsRR
All-Rookie team, Rookie relievers


All-Rookie team, Rookie relievers

October 11, 2021

Torkelson on playing in AFL


Torkelson on playing in AFL

October 11, 2021

Torkelson on three levels in 2021


Torkelson on three levels in 2021

October 11, 2021

Torkelson on teammate Greene


Torkelson on teammate Greene

October 11, 2021

Torkelson discusses his defense


Torkelson discusses his defense

October 11, 2021

Arizona Fall League starts 10/13


Arizona Fall League starts 10/13

October 6, 2021

MiLB players with 20-20 seasons


MiLB players with 20-20 seasons

October 6, 2021

Top prospects in Fall League


Top prospects in Fall League

October 6, 2021

More Prospects Highlights

Prospects Live

First off, you guys have driven SO much traffic to our boards, we’ve been forced to add a small GOOGLE SHEET for ya’ll to access if our tool isn’t loading. So if you’re having trouble, simply click the link above!

As we have been for the last few months, today we pump out 50 more prospects in our lead up to the 2021 MLB Draft. 50 new names, a completely new format and total re-ranks. The players are ranked by an aggregate average ranking from individual Top 500 ranks by Joe Doyle, Geoff Pontes, Tyler Jennings, Ian Smith and Joe Drake. Each evaluator receives equal weight.

These rankings take into account our own personal biases toward players we’ve seen in live looks, conversations with industry personnel, batted-ball data evaluation, as well as basing some value on the amount of scout traffic players are getting at their games.

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This was a particularly tricky spring as we essentially missed out on an entire year of prospect play. What is each player going to look like going into this year? Did some of the injured players take the proper time to get fully healthy? How many spent the entire time training and developing? Will the absence of complete competitive play mean a slow start for many? How many prospects are making an immediate jump onto an MLB roster this year?

I figured I’d take a look at prospects as we enter the 2021 fantasy baseball season and give my preliminary rankings.

A handful of players that I have an eye on to start the season as I see promise in them include: Andrew Vaughn, Mick Abel, Clarke Schmidt, Ryan Weathers, Parker Meadows and Daniel Espino.

Top 200 Prospects for 2021

1Wander FrancoSSTBR
2MacKenzie GoreSPSDP
3Sixto SanchezSPMIA
4Andrew Vaughn1BCHW
5Julio RodriguezOFSEA
6Spencer Torkelson1BDET
7Spencer HowardSPPHI
8Jarred KelenicOFSEA
9Ian AndersonSPATL
10Austin MartinIF/OFTOR
11Zac VeenOFCOL
12Joey BartCSFG
13Adley RutschmanCBAL
14Nick Gonzales2B/SSPIT
15Marco LucianoSSSFG
16CJ AbramsSSSDP
17Bobby Witt Jr.SSKCR
18Dylan CarlsonOFSTL
19Alex KirilloffOFMIN
20Jo AdellOFLAA
21Grayson RodriguezSPBAL
22Luis PatinoSPTBR
23Casey MizeSPDET
24Ryan MountcastleOFBAL
25Nate PearsonSPTOR
26Max MeyerSPMIA
27Asa LacySPKCR
28Tarik SkubalSPDET
29Triston McKenzieSPCLE
30Matt ManningSPDET
31Riley GreeneOFDET
32Jasson DominguezOFNYY
33Shane BazSPTBR
34Ronny MauricioSSNYM
35Nick Madrigal2BCHW
36Garrett CrochetPCHW
37Brailyn MarquezSPCHC
38Josh Jung3BTEX
39Nolan Gorman3BSTL
40Corbin CarrollOFARI
41Emerson HancockSPSEA
42Kristian RobinsonOFARI
43Braxton GarrettSPMIA
44Cristian PacheOFATL
45Jeter DownsSSBOS
46Royce LewisOF/SSMIN
47Francisco AlvarezCNYM
48Robert Hassell IIIOFSDP
49Orelvis MartinezSSTOR
50Geraldo PerdomoSSARI
51Jordan Groshans3B/SSTOR
52Alek ThomasOFARI
53Vidal Brujan2BTBR
54Jazz ChisholmSSMIA
55Mick AbelSPPHI
56Edward CabreraSPMIA
57Trevor RogersSPMIA
58Deivi GarciaSPNYY
59Shane McClanahanSPTBR
60Clarke SchmidtSPNYY
61Xavier Edwards2B/SSTBR
62Nolan Jones3BCLE
63Hunter GreeneSPCIN
64Noelvi MarteSSSEA
65Trevor LarnachOFMIN
66J.J. BledayOFMIA
67Alek ManoahSPTOR
68Brendan McKaySPTBR
69Matthew LiberatoreSPSTL
70Daniel LynchSPKCR
71Jackson KowarSPKCR
73Brandon MarshOFLAA
74Oneil CruzSSPIT
75George KirbySPSEA
76Nick LodoloSPCIN
77Ke’Bryan Hayes3BPIT
78Tyler StephensonCCIN
79Jordan BalazovicSPMIN
81Brennen DavisOFCHC
82Austin HendrickOFCIN
83Reid DetmersSPLAA
84Brice TurangSSMIL
85Brennan MaloneSPPIT
86Pete Crow-ArmstrongOFNYM
87Heliot RamosOFSFG
88Ethan HankinsSPCLE
89Hunter BishopOFSFG
90Brett Baty3BNYM
91Jonathan India3BCIN
92Taylor TrammellOFSEA
93Ryan WeathersSPSDP
94Tyler SoderstromCOAK
95Robert PuasonSSOAK
96Hans CrouseSPTEX
97Jared KelleySPCHW
98Drew WatersOFATL
99Jackson RutledgeSPWAS
100Seth Beer1B/OFARI
101Jordyn AdamsOFLAA
102Cade CavalliSPWAS
103Kyren ParisSSLAA
104Jose GarciaSSCIN
105Tucker DavidsonSPATL
106Kody Hoese3BLAD
107Luis GilSPNYY
108Michael Toglia1BCOL
109Triston Casas1BBOS
110George ValeraOFCLE
111Jeremiah JacksonSS/3BLAA
112Cole WilcoxSPTBR
113Justin DunnSPSEA
114Randy ArozarenaOFTBR
115Aaron Bracho2BCLE
116Luis CampusanoCSDP
117Sam HuffCTEX
118Tyler FreemanSSCLE
119Brent RookerOFMIN
120Josiah GraySPLAD
121Simeon Woods RichardonSPTOR
122Keibert RuizCLAD
123Bobby Dalbec1BBOS
124Michael KopechSPCHW
125Seth CorrySPSFG
126Levi KellySPARI
127J.T. GinnSPNYM
128Patrick BaileyCSFG
129Jesus SanchezOFMIA
130Bobby MillerSPLAD
131Alejandro KirkCTOR
132Forrest WhitleySPHOU
133Heston KjerstadOFBAL
134Bryson StottSSPHI
135Joshua LoweOFTBR
136Matthew AllanSPNYM
137Leody TaverasOFTEX
138Kyle MullerSPATL
139Erick PenaOFKC
140Dane DunningSPCWS
141Ed HowardSSCHC
142Jordan Walker3BSTL
143Brayan RocchioSSCLE
144Bo NaylorCCLE
145Adam KloffensteinSPTOR
146Ryan RolisonSPCOL
147Garrett MitchellOFMIL
148Zack ThompsonSPSTL
149Quinn PriesterSPPIT
150Sean HjelleSPSFG
151Austin WellsC/OFNYY
152Dean KremerSPBal
153Luis Toribio3BSFG
154Jhoan DuranSPMIN
155Albert AbreuSPNYY
156Isaac Paredes3BDET
157Kevin AlcantaraOFNYY
158Travis SwaggertyOFPIT
159Diego CartayaCLAD
160Thomas SzapuckiSPNYM
161Aaron Sabato1BMIN
162Parker MeadowsOFDET
163Chris McMahonSPCOL
164Joe RyanSPTBR
165Cole WinnSPTEX
166Gilberto JimenezOFBOS
167Gabriel MorenoCTOR
168Liover PegueroOFPIT
169Casey Schmitt3BSFG
170Daniel CabreraOFDET
171Jonathan StieverSPCHW
172Adbert AlzolaySPCHC
173Maximo AcostaSSTEX
174Ronaldo HernandezCTBR
175Ryan JeffersCMIN
176Ryan Vilade3B/OFCOL
177Aaron AshbySPMIL
178Alexander CanarioOFSFG
179Jerar Encarnacion3BMIA
180Greg JonesSSTBR
181Gunnar HendersonSSBAL
182Nick BitskoSPTBR
183Ryan JensenSPCHC
184Carmen MlodzinskiSPPIT
185Tanner HouckSPBOS
186Francisco MoralesSPPHI
187Bryan MataSPBOS
188Bryan AbreuPHOU
189Logan DavidsonSSOAK
190Khalil LeeOFKC
191Miguel Hiraldo3BTOR
192Tristen LutzOFMIL
193Masyn WinnSPSTL
194Cole RoedererOFCHC
195Miguel AmayaCCHC
196Jared JonesSPPIT
197Daniel EspinoSPCLE
198Chris VallimontSPMIN
199Dillon DinglerCDET
200Misael UrbinaOFMIN

Top 200 Draft Prospects list: A new No. 1

May 19th, 2021

Normally by now, the Draft class would be taking some definite shape, about three weeks shy of the event. But this year, the combination of an additional month to wait for the July start date of the Draft and a lack of history on players from last year or over the summer has given the Draft more uncertainty than usual.

That’s reflected in our new Draft Top 200 prospects list, where we have a new No. 1 overall prospect, and it’s certainly true at the very top of the Draft. As it stands, seven-plus weeks before they make the first pick in the first round, the Pittsburgh Pirates appear to have seven players in the mix. Some might be more serious candidates than others, though it’s still a touch early to truly handicap them. Instead, let’s put them into different buckets: Two college pitchers, two college hitters, two high school hitters and one high school pitcher.

The Top 10:
Marcelo Mayer, SS, Eastlake (CA)
Jordan Lawlar, SS, Jesuit Prep (TX)
Jack Leiter, RHP, Vanderbilt
Henry Davis, C, Louisville
Kumar Rocker, RHP, Vanderbilt
Brady House, SS, Winder-Barrow (GA)
Jackson Jobe, RHP, Heritage Hall (OK)
Kahlil Watson, SS, Wake Forest (NC)
Ty Madden, RHP, Texas
Colton Cowser, OF, Sam Houston
Complete list »

The college pitchers

Yes, they’re exactly who you think they are: Vanderbilt right-handers Jack Leiter (now No. 3 on the Top 200) and Kumar Rocker (No. 5). Both have had some question marks of late, perhaps keeping them from being the slam dunks at the very top that some expected them to be.

After coming out of the gate in SEC play as dominant as one can be, Leiter had a few starts in which he was much more hittable -- and prone to the long ball -- than he had been, giving up 12 runs in 15 1/3 innings over three starts. Then he was scratched from his May 8 start, somewhat abruptly, with the rationale that Vanderbilt was just monitoring his workload. Given that Leiter has never pitched a full college season and durability is one of the things scouts have wondered about him, this did set off alarms. They were silenced when he returned against Ole Miss last weekend and gave up just one run on two hits while striking out 13. His fastball averaged 95 mph and he was touching 98, missing bats with that pitch and his plus curveball.

As for Rocker, the power repertoire is still really good, though a fastball that was touching 99 mph in the past has now been topping out at 95 and was averaging around 93 mph in his last start. He also didn’t miss bats with his heater and was leaning heavily on his breaking stuff, which still baffles hitters. It may seem like nitpicking, but that’s what you do with players at the top of the Draft. And given that this was the guy who threw a no-hitter in postseason play as a freshman, it will be interesting to see if he ramps it back up down the stretch.

The college hitters

Louisville catcher Henry Davis (No. 4) has hit his way into this conversation. College hitters who produce often move up because they are the safest bet, and Davis has done that and then some. He’s hitting .379/.498/.658 on the year with 12 homers and more walks than strikeouts. He’s slugged .654 in conference play, so it’s not like he’s slowed down. The fact that he’s improved behind the plate, showing a plus-plus arm that controls the running game, and has a good chance to stick there only improves his value, though truth be told, it looks like he’s going to hit enough to profile well at another position should a move become necessary.

Boston College outfielder Sal Frelick (No. 11) might seem like a bit of a stretch for the No. 1 pick, but he checks off a lot of boxes as a college player. Riding a 15-game hitting streak, he’s a plus hitter with a feel for the barrel with a .359/.439/.560 slash line for the season and a .354/.432/.535 line in ACC play. He’s a plus runner who has 11 steals and has proven this year he could be a plus defender in center field, helping his profile. If the Pirates think there’s enough power coming, he could belong up here.

The high school hitters

It’s the two high school shortstops now at the top of our Top 200, Marcelo Mayer of California at No. 1 and Jordan Lawlar of Texas at No. 2, and many feel one of them should be the top pick in the Draft. Scouts seem to feel more confident in Mayer’s bat, while Lawlar is more athletic and might have a higher ceiling.

Both have scouts claiming they are the superior defender, so suffice it to say that they both have a chance to play shortstop for a very long time. Lawlar’s superior speed and athleticism might give him a better shot, but Mayer has very good instincts and both have a plus arm. While comps are not our favorite thing, they can sometimes be informative in terms of what scouts dream on when they see a player. For Mayer, scouts see Corey Seager’s offensive profile and Brandon Crawford’s defense. Lawlar draws comparisons to Derek Jeter, Carlos Correa and Xander Bogaerts.

The high school pitcher

Let’s start by pointing out that a high school right-hander has never gone No. 1 overall in the history of the Draft. So that should tell you the likelihood that Jackson Jobe of Oklahoma (No. 7) actually goes in that spot. He has definitely separated himself from other prep arms in the class, and some scouts think he could very well be the best arm in this class when all is said and done.

He’s a talented two-way player who is a solid shortstop prospect and who could be a two-way college player at Mississippi, but his future is on the mound. His athleticism plays very well on the hill, and he has four pitches that are at least above average at his disposal. He’s going to go very high in the Draft, but it’s likely the Pirates will go in this direction only if everything else has blown up.


200 prospects mlb top

Top-400 Fantasy Baseball Prospects For Dynasty Leagues: October 2021

Fantasy Baseball Prospects

A massive part of fantasy baseball dynasty leagues always has been and always will be prospects. No matter if you’re a diehard to the format or relatively new, everyone loves prospects and wants to establish a rock-solid core on their dynasty team. Having a top-notch farm system can help you replenish when you’re Major Leaguers start to decline and can keep you competitive year after year. And that’s the goal, right? We play dynasty fantasy baseball to have fun and to win. If you play to lose, then I’m not sure why you’re playing, to be honest. So, with all that said, it’s time to unleash an updated top-400 fantasy baseball prospects list on the world. Hopefully, this list helps you build a dominant farm now and into the future.

What Factors Into These Rankings?

  1. Proximity: For this list, proximity factors in somewhat, but this is mostly geared toward overall potential.
  2. Upside: Ceiling and floor are weighed at around a 2/3 to 1/3 split.
  3. System: The more I’ve learned, the more it has become very apparent that the system these prospects are in matters. If a franchise doesn’t have a great track record developing certain types of prospects or vice versa, that factors in to a degree.
  4. Key Tools (Hitters): We all love the flashy prospects that have the potential to put up gaudy numbers, but that can’t be all we look for. For hitters, I’ve really started factoring in a prospect’s hit tool more heavily. Below-average contact skills or plate approach can really limit a player’s power/speed upside.
  5. Key Tools (Pitchers): In my time doing this, command has become more and more important in my eyes. That’s why you’ll see certain pitchers a little lower than you might think. I’ll take a pitcher that throws 93-94 with plus command over 96-97 with spotty command any day of the week.

If you aren’t playing your dynasty leagues on Fantrax, you’re missing out on the deepest player pool and most customization around. 

Also, make sure to check out the Fantrax Dynasty Baseball Podcast weekly for more dynasty and prospect talk.

Top-400 Fantasy Baseball Prospects – Updated 9/28/2021

Qualifications: 130 MLB AB or less, 50 MLB IP or less, 45 days or less on the active roster (September excluded)

RankPlayerPositionMLB TeamAgeETAPrev
1Bobby Witt Jr.SSKCR21.420221
2Julio RodriguezOFSEA20.820222
3Noelvi MarteSSSEA20.120233
4Brennen DavisOFCHC2220225
5Zac VeenOFCOL19.920236
6Riley GreeneOFDET21.1202210
7Marco LucianoSSSFG20.120234
8CJ AbramsSSSDP21.120237
9Robert Hassell IIIOFSDP20.220238
10Adley RutschmanCBAL23.7202211
11Anthony VolpeSSNYY20.5202315
12Spencer Torkelson1B/3BDET22.220229
13Corbin CarrollOFARI21.2202313
14Grayson RodriguezRHPBAL22202214
15Hedbert PerezOFMIL18.6202416
16Luis MatosOFSFG19.8202317
17Marcelo MayerSSBOS18.9202418
18Alek ThomasOFARI21.5202222
19Vidal Brujan2B/OFTBR23.7Debuted19
20Shane BazRHPTBR22.4Debuted26
21Josh LoweOFTBR23.8Debuted23
22Tyler SoderstromC/1BOAK19.9202321
23Jasson DominguezOFNYY18.7202420
24Jordan Walker3BSTL19.5202333
25George KirbyRHPSEA23.7202224
26Garrett MitchellOFMIL23.2202212
27Nick Gonzales2B/SSPIT22.4202228
28Triston Casas1BBOS21.8202225
29Kahlil WatsonSSMIA18.6202427
30Emerson HancockRHPSEA22.4202229
31Max MeyerRHPMIA22.7202237
32Jordan LawlarSSARI19.3202431
33Cade CavalliRHPWAS23.2202232
34Brady HouseSSWAS18.4202443
35Oneil CruzSSPIT23.1202239
36Sixto SanchezRHPMIA23.3Debuted35
37Jarren DuranOFBOS25.2Debuted36
38Nolan Gorman2B/3BSTL21.5202249
39Henry DavisCPIT22.1202334
40Josh Jung3BTEX23.7202241
41Jack LeiterRHPTEX21.5202338
42Daniel EspinoRHPCLE20.8202345
43Jose Miranda2B/3BMIN23.4202261
44Francisco AlvarezCNYM20202340
45Oswald PerazaSSNYY21.4202251
46Orelvis MartinezSSTOR20202346
47Austin MartinSS/OFMIN22.6202230
48Nick Pratto1BKCR23.1202252
49Mick AbelRHPPHI20.2202342
50Nick LodoloLHPCIN23.7202244
51Jhonkensy Noel1B/3BCLE20.3202455
52Hunter GreeneRHPCIN22.2202247
53Nate PearsonRHPTOR25.2Debuted48
54Eury PerezRHPMIA18.6202478
55Gabriel MorenoCTOR21.7202257
56Brayan RocchioSSCLE20.8202272
57Miguel Vargas1B/3BLAD22202298
58Benny MontgomeryOFCOL19.2202553
59Keibert RuizCWAS23.3Debuted60
60Tyler FreemanSSCLE22.5202256
61Pedro LeonOF/SSHOU23.4202258
62Royce LewisSSMIN22.4202259
63MJ MelendezCKCR22.9202289
64Michael Busch2BLAD24202262
65Colton CowserOFBAL21.6202363
66Austin WellsCNYY22.3202264
67Trey Sweeney3BNYY21.52023105
68Nick Yorke2BBOS19.62023110
69Greg JonesSSTBR23.7202287
70Heliot RamosOFSFG22.2202250
71Brett Baty3BNYM22202373
72Joey BartCSFG24.9Debuted68
73Jackson JobeRHPDET19.3202465
74Reginald PreciadoSSCHC18.5202475
75Jairo PomaresOFSFG21.3202386
76Wilman DiazSSLAD18202554
77Cristian HernandezSSCHC17.9202569
78George ValeraOFCLE21202270
79Carlos ColmenarezSSTBR18202571
80Pete Crow-ArmstrongOFCHC19.6202476
81Harry FordCSEA18.7202493
82Jose BarreroSSCIN23.6Debuted79
83Cole WinnRHPTEX21.9202380
84Sal FrelickOFMIL21.5202383
85DL HallLHPBAL23.1202277
86Kevin AlcantaraOFCHC19.32024106
87Owen CaissieOFCHC19.3202388
88Quinn PriesterRHPPIT21.12022108
89Edward CabreraRHPMIA23.6Debuted67
90Jordan GroshansSSTOR22202266
91Reid DetmersLHPLAA22.3Debuted74
92Andy PagesOFLAD20.92023100
93Blaze Jordan1B/3BBOS18.92024101
94Michael HarrisOFATL20.7202290
95Dustin Harris1B/3BTEX22.32023135
96Josiah GrayRHPWAS23.9Debuted91
97Aaron AshbyLHPMIL23.5Debuted225
98Matt McLainSSCIN22.22023115
99Bryson StottSSPHI24.12022114
100Luisangel AcunaSSTEX19.6202392
101Ronny MauricioSSNYM20.6202294
102Isaiah GreeneOFCLE20.2202395
103Bobby MillerRHPLAD22.62022120
104Coby Mayo3BBAL19.92023119
105Hunter BishopOFSFG23.4202296
106MacKenzie GoreLHPSDP22.7202282
107Jeter Downs2B/SSBOS23.3202299
108JJ BledayOFMIA24202285
109Simeon Woods-RichardsonRHPMIN21.12022102
110Asa LacyLHPKCR22.4202284
111Xavier Edwards2BTBR22.22022103
112Gunnar HendersonSSBAL20.3202381
113Diego CartayaCLAD20.22024107
114Liover PegueroSSPIT20.82023109
115Alexander CanarioOFCHC21.52023112
116Eddys LeonardSS/2B/3BLAD212023113
117Gavin WilliamsRHPCLE22.32023125
118Ezequiel TovarSSCOL20.32024117
119Nolan Jones3BCLE23.52022118
120Peyton BattenfieldRHPCLE24.22022156
121Justin Foscue2BTEX22.72022121
122Logan T. AllenLHPCLE23.12023171
123Sam BachmanRHPLAA22.12022116
124Jordan WestburgSSBAL22.72022122
125Heriberto HernandezOFTBR21.92023123
126Matt CanterinoRHPMIN23.92022124
127Seth Beer1B/OFARI25.1Debuted126
128Joe RyanRHPMIN25.4Debuted182
129Curtis Mead1B/3BTBR212022127
130Blake WalstonLHPARI20.42024129
131Jordan BalazovicRHPMIN23.12022130
132Everson PereiraOFNYY20.62023154
133Victor AcostaSSSDP17.42025265
134Matthew LiberatoreLHPSTL222022131
135Clarke SchmidtRHPNYY25.7Debuted111
136Kristian RobinsonOFARI20.92023132
137Peyton BurdickOFMIA24.72022133
138James WoodOFSDP19.12024152
139Matt AllanRHPNYM20.52024134
140Kyle HarrisonLHPSFG20.22024136
141Jose Salas2B/SSMIA18.52023138
142Josh SmithSSTEX24.22022139
143Mark Vientos3BNYM21.92023140
144Gunnar HoglundRHPTOR21.92023141
145Ryan PepiotRHPLAD24.2202297
146Gilberto JimenezOFBOS21.32022143
147Chase PettyRHPMIN18.62024144
148Austin HendrickOFCIN20.42023146
149Joshua MearsOFSDP20.72023148
150Luis GilRHPNYY23.4Debuted149
151Adael AmadorSSCOL18.62023150
152Elly De La Cruz3B/SSCIN19.82023151
153Nick BitskoRHPTBR19.42024153
154Taj BradleyRHPTBR20.62023168
155Brandon WilliamsonLHPSEA23.62022189
156Geraldo PerdomoSSARI22Debuted174
157Ethan HankinsRHPCLE21.52023160
158Joey WiemerOFMIL22.72023196
159Gabriel GonzalezOFSEA17.62025246
160Matt BrashRHPSEA23.52022274
161Heston KjerstadOFBAL22.72022163
162Slade CecconiRHPARI22.42022164
163Jake EderLHPMIA23.22022165
164Andrew PainterRHPPHI18.62024173
165Robert PuasonSSOAK19.12024166
166Aaron Bracho2BCLE20.52023170
167Jay AllenOFCIN18.92024216
168Spencer StriderRHPATL232022183
169Kody Hoese3BLAD24.32022172
170Forrest WhitleyRHPHOU24.12022147
171Arol VeraSSLAA19.12024187
172Lonnie White Jr.OFPIT18.82024181
173Ed HowardSSCHC19.82023161
174Jackson KowarRHPKCR25.1Debuted175
175Erick PenaOFKCR18.72024104
176Ezequiel Duran2BTEX22.52023176
177Luis RodriguezOFLAD19.12024128
178Angel MartinezINFCLE19.82024142
179Brailyn MarquezLHPCHC22.8Debuted159
180Joshua BaezOF/RHPSTL18.42024155
181Masyn WinnSS/RHPSTL19.62024209
182Jhoan DuranRHPMIN23.82022167
183Jordan NwoguOFCHC22.72022200
184Drew WatersOFATL22.82022178
185Roansy ContrerasRHPPIT222022179
186Jonatan ClaseOFSEA19.52024180
187Cristian PacheOFATL23Debuted184
188Brenton DoyleOFCOL23.52022185
189Randy VasquezRHPNYY25.62023258
190Zach DeLoachOFSEA23.22022188
191Christian FranklinOFCHC21.92023190
192Cade MarloweOFSEA24.42022201
193J.T. GinnRHPNYM22.52022191
194Colson MontgomerySSCHW19.72024192
195Oswaldo CabreraSSNYY22.62022NR
196Maximo AcostaSSTEX192024137
197Bryce JarvisRHPARI23.92023169
198Ethan SmallLHPMIL24.72022193
199Ismael MenaOFCHC18.92024194
200Cole WilcoxRHPTBR22.32023195
201Aeverson ArteagaSSSFG18.62024217
202Dillon DinglerCDET23.12023197
203Tanner BurnsRHPCLE22.92022198
204Will BednarRHPSFG21.42023202
205Canaan Smith-NjigbaOFPIT22.52022203
206Jeferson EspinalOFARI19.42024204
207Maxwell Muncy2B/SSOAK19.22024205
208Jordyn AdamsOFLAA222022162
209Jake VogelOFLAD20.12023206
210James TriantosSS/3BCHC18.82024287
211Vinnie Pasquantino1BKCR24.12022219
212Bubba ChandlerRHP/SSPIT19.12024236
213Dax FultonLHPMIA20.12023210
214Lewin Diaz1BMIA25Debuted211
215Daylen LileOFWAS18.92024212
216Michael Toglia1BCOL23.22022157
217Jose RamosOFLAD20.82024230
218Wes Kath3BCHW19.32024213
219Ian SeymourRHPTBR22.92023281
220Jeremiah JacksonSSLAA21.62022214
221Felix Valerio2BMIL20.92023244
222Connor Norby2B/3BBAL21.42023215
223Hudson HeadOFPIT20.62023145
224DJ HerzLHPCHC20.82023295
225Gage Workman3BDET222022220
226Xzavion CurryRHPCLE23.32023309
227Matt FraizerOFPIT23.82023221
228Alexfri PlanezOFCLE20.22024223
229Gabriel AriasSSCLE21.72022199
230Ryan CusickRHPATL222023252
231Luis MedinaRHPNYY22.52022224
232Glenn OttoRHPTEX25.7Debuted313
233Jose RodriguezOFCHW20.52023250
234Manuel BeltreSSTOR17.42025227
235Ty MaddenRHPDET21.72023218
236Daulton JefferiesRHPOAK26.3Debuted228
237Miguel BleisOFBOS17.72025229
238Jeremy PenaSSHOU24.12022335
239Jesse FranklinOFATL22.92022231
240Drey JamesonLHPARI24.22022286
241Freddy ZamoraSSMIL232022232
242Drew RomoCCOL20.12023234
243Luis CampusanoCSDP23.1Debuted177
244Jay GroomeLHPBOS23.22023235
245Joe MackCMIA18.92024237
246Jonathan ArandaMITBR23.52023294
247Samad Taylor2BTOR23.32022238
248Bryce Ball1BCHC23.32022239
249Samuel ZavalaOFSDP17.32024277
250Brennan MaloneRHPPIT21.22023207
251Aaron Sabato1BMIN22.42022158
252Euribiel Angeles2B/3B/SSSDP19.52024324
253Brendan McKayLHPTBR25.9Debuted240
254Joe GrayOFMIL21.62022241
255Zack Gelof3BOAK21.92023NR
256Jared KelleyRHPCHW20.12023242
257Juan Yepez1BSTL23.72022321
258Carlos JorgeSS/2BCIN182025317
259Brayan BelloRHPBOS22.52022253
260Izaac Pacheco3BDET192024208
261Evan CarterOFTEX19.22023226
262Austin Shenton3BTBR23.82023243
263Misael UrbinaOFMIN19.52024186
264Shay WhitcombSSHOU232023NR
265Cole HenryRHPWAS22.32022327
266Frank MozzicatoLHPKCR18.42024245
267Mason Martin1BPIT22.42022247
268Miguel HiraldoMITOR21.22022248
269Shea LangeliersCATL242022249
270Elehuris Montero3BCOL23.22022251
271Travis SwaggertyOFPIT24.22022254
272Michael Massey2BKCR23.62023NR
273Jordan WicksLHPCHC22.22023255
274Bayron LoraOFTEX19.12024256
275Alex De JesusSSLAD19.62024257
276Keoni CavacoSSMIN20.42023259
277Alec BurlesonOFSTL22.92023280
278Brice TurangSSMIL222022261
279Yoelkis CespedesOFCHW24.12022262
280Ethan WilsonOFPHI222023266
281Jorbit Vivas2B/3BLAD20.72023330
282Matt WallnerOFMIN23.92022267
283Pedro PinedaOFOAK18.22025222
284Hudson HaskinOFBAL22.82022269
285Freudis NovaINFHOU21.82023270
286Ivan HerreraCSTL21.42022272
287Petey HalpinOFCLE19.42023302
288Kameron MisnerOFMIA23.82022273
289Hendry MendezOFMIL182025275
290Jackson MerrillSSSDP18.52024292
291Carson TuckerSSCLE19.82024276
292A.J. PukLHPOAK26.5Debuted278
293Alexander Ramirez (LAA)OFLAA19.32024279
294Brainer BonaciSSBOS19.32023268
295Daniel CabreraOFDET23.22022233
296Jeferson QueroCMIL19.12024282
297Jose De La CruzOFDET19.82024263
298Landon KnackRHPLAD24.32023283
299Sherten Apostel3BTEX22.72022284
300Braden ShewmakeSSATL242022285
301Patrick BaileyCSFG22.42023288
302Rece Hinds3BCIN21.22023289
303Joe Perez3BHOU22.22022290
304Carmen MlodzinskiRHPPIT22.72022291
305Maikol Escotto2BPIT19.42024293
306Kyle MullerLHPATL24.1Debuted264
307Jackson RutledgeRHPWAS22.62022260
308Alex Binelas3B/1BMIL21.42023NR
309Jared JonesRHPPIT18.32023297
310Anthony GarciaOFNYY212024NR
311Michael McGreevyRHPSTL21.32023298
312Will WilsonSSSFG23.32022299
313Yerlin ConfidanOFCIN18.72024NR
314Carson WilliamsSSTBR18.42024300
315Jared ShusterLHPATL23.32022301
316Tahnaj ThomasRHPPIT22.42023303
317Luis FriasRHPARI23.52022304
318Sam HuffCTEX23.8Debuted306
319Blaine Crim1BTEX24.42022NR
320Luis Toribio3BSFG21.12023308
321Caleb KilianRHPCHC24.42022310
322Otto Lopez2BTOR23.12022311
323Alexander Mojica3BPIT19.32024312
324Ian Lewis2BMIA18.72025NR
325Ryan KreidlerSSDET242022342
326Adam HallSSBAL22.52022314
327Maikol HernandezSSBAL18.12025315
328Joey CantilloLHPCLE21.92022316
329Anthony SolometoLHPPIT18.92024337
330Josh WinderRHPMIN25.12022318
331Allan CerdaOFCIN21.92023388
332Brayan BuelvasOFOAK19.42024319
333Trevor Hauver2B/OFTEX232023320
334Ricky VanascoRHPTEX23.12022322
335Leonardo BalcazarSSCIN17.42025386
336Jared OlivaOFPIT25.9Debuted305
337Alexander Ramirez (NYM)OFNYM19.32023323
338Kyren ParisSSLAA202023325
339Yeison SantanaSSCHC20.92023326
340Hayden WesneskiRHPNYY23.82022NR
341Alexander VargasSSNYY202023328
342Griffin ConineOFMIA24.32022329
343Kyle IsbelOFKCR24.7Debuted332
344Ryan Vilade3B/OFCOL22.72022333
345Benyamin BaileyOFCHW20.12024334
346Miguel AmayaCCHC22.72022336
347Aaron Schunk3BCOL24.32022296
348Junior MarinOFKCR17.52025NR
349George FelizOFSEA19.12024338
350Ryan Bliss2BARI21.92023339
351Kevin MadeSSCHC19.12023340
352Kyle StowersOFBAL23.82022NR
353Oscar GonzalezOFCLE23.82022NR
354Hunter BrownRHPHOU23.22023341
355Rayne DonconSSLAD182025343
356Graham AshcraftRHPCIN23.72022344
357Kyle Manzardo1BTBR21.32023345
358Joey EstesRHPATL202024NR
359Nick LoftinSSKCR23.12023NR
360Jack HermanOFPIT22.12022346
361Antonio GomezCNYY202025347
362Owen WhiteRHPTEX22.22023NR
363Bryant PackardOFDET24.12022348
364Eduardo GarciaSSMIL19.32024349
365Warming Bernabel3BCOL19.42024350
366Manuel SequeraSSDET19.12025351
367Luis MedinaOFMIL22.52024352
368Nick SwineyLHPSFG22.72022353
369Estevan FlorialOFNYY23.9Debuted355
370Casey MartinSSPHI22.62022356
371Jack KochanowiczRHPLAA20.92023331
372Louie VarlandRHPMIN23.92023390
373Tyler Callihan2B/3BCIN21.42022357
374Joel DiazRHPNYM17.62025358
375Andry LaraRHPWAS18.82025359
376Ryan MurphyRHPSFG22.12022360
377Korey LeeCHOU23.32023361
378Tyler Black2BMIL21.32023362
379Tucker BradleyOFKCR23.52023NR
380Cristian SantanaSSDET17.92024NR
381Jonathan BowlanRHPKCR24.92023382
382Osleivis BasabeSSTBR21.12023363
383Drew RomLHPBAL21.72022NR
384Deyvison De Los Santos3BARI18.42024380
385Ryan RolisonLHPCOL24.32023365
386Osiris JohnsonSS/OFMIA212024366
387Edouard Julien3BMIN22.52023400
388Kaden Polcovich2B/SSSEA22.72023367
389Seth JohnsonRHPTBR23.12023368
390Steven KwanOFCLE24.12022NR
391Ruben CardenasOFTBR24.12022376
392Zach McCambleyRHPMIA22.52023377
393Tekoah RobyRHPTEX20.12023378
394Prelander BerroaRHPSFG21.52022379
395Jordan BrewerOFHOU24.32022371
396Edwin ArroyoSSSEA18.22024395
397Jose TenaSSCLE20.62023373
398Alex SantosRHPHOU19.72024374
399Robert GasserRHPSDP22.32024NR
400Ji-Hwan Bae2B/SSPIT22.32022383

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2022 MLB Draft Top Prospects Part 2: Connor Prielipp, Brooks Lee and more!

Ray Butler’s 2021 Top 200 Prospects: #101-150

Written by: Ray Butler

Follow us on Twitter! @Prospects365

Opening Day is one week from today!

What better way to celebrate than publishing 50 more prospects from my 2021 top-200 list? There are certainly some intriguing/flag-planting placements in this portion of the list. If you missed the first release, be sure to check out my #151-200 prospects by clicking here.

Let’s get into it!

150. Alek Manoah, RHP, TOR. Age: 23

Manoah had a productive summer, focusing on his changeup and command while facing notable prospects and fringe big leaguers at the alternate site. The Blue Jays seem content with the right-hander’s development so far, and an average-or-better changeup would all but cement Manoah’s status as a long-term big league pitcher moving forward. He will be 23-years-old playing his first, full professional season, but I suspect he’ll move fairly quickly through Toronto’s minor league system as long as the changeup and command gains stick.

149. Bryce Jarvis, RHP, ARI. Age: 23

Jarvis strikes me as a pitching prospect we underrate from the fantasy side of things. The velocity ticked up throughout the 23-year-old’s career at Duke, but it’s still not a premium pitch that will be blown by hitters at the big league level. The changeup, on the other hand, is as good as any changeup on this prospect list. Perhaps even better, Jarvis’ plus command allows each facet of the arsenal to play-up past what the data suggests. You likely know he was old for his draft class demographic, but now the hope has become his advanced arsenal and command creates an expedited path through Arizona’s minor league system. If Jarvis eventually outperforms his current rankings, it’s likely he’s developed a breaking ball that exceeds the fringe-average marks it currently receives.

148. Greg Jones, SS, TB. Age: 23

Re-publishing a snippet from my Jones write-up from last preseason: A lesson (he’s) taught me since then: a high strikeout rate shouldn’t be a disqualifier when a player is capable of posting elite BABIPs. The 22-year-old is a 70-runner who sprays the ball to all fields with authority. He also takes walks (10.1 BB% in 48 games and 218 plate appearances in the NYPL post-draft) with confidence, so despite a strikeout rate that should hover between 25% and 35% throughout his career at various levels, the rest of the ingredients should allow the switch hitter to thrive offensively without the slash numbers suffering.” Jones is unsuspectingly one of the more unique prospects on this list, though it remains to be seen whether he can separate himself from the rest of the Rays position playing prospects enough to garner everyday playing time at the big league level once he’s ready to debut. Best practice is probably assuming he—and Vidal Brujan, Xavier Edwards and others—are on the outside looking in until they prove otherwise.

147. Ethan Hankins, RHP, CLE. Age: 20

To this point, Hankins’ breaking balls simply haven’t developed the way they needed to for the right-hander to be considered a future, top-of-the-rotation starter. Presently, the 20-year-old’s changeup has become his clear-cut second pitch. He doesn’t command any portion of his repertoire particularly well, but perhaps further refining that aspect of his skillset could be what unlocks the next level. We obviously have faith in the Indians process of developing their pitchers, but at this point, it appears Hankins may peak as a low-end SP3 instead of the rotation ace he was once thought to be. There’s still plenty of time to change that though.

146. Brett Baty, IF, NYM. Age: 21

The canceled 2020 minor league season was a little extra painful for Baty, who was drafted as a prep player but nearly 21.5 years old before debuting in full season ball. Reports from the alternate site were positive, with contacts praising Baty’s power and plate approach. However, it remains to be seen whether he’ll be able to stick at the hot corner defensively. In my eyes, an eventual shift to first base is the likely outcome here. Don’t be surprised if the Mets push Baty a bit in 2021, which would give him a grand opportunity to showcase his power and on base skills versus advanced competition from other organizations.

Read about our Adam Ehrenreich’s post-hype, breakout and bounce back candidates on the mound for the 2021 big league season. 

145. Braden Shewmake, IF, ATL. Age: 23

To fully buy-in to Shewmake’s outlook on a fantasy-focused list like this one, you first have to wrap your head around the notion of the 23-year-old becoming a utility player at the next level. He’s not taking Dansby Swanson’s spot at shortstop. He’s not taking Ozzie Albies’ spot at the cornerstone. The Braves shouldn’t want him to be their everyday first baseman or third baseman. If he remains in Atlanta, that practically leaves Shewmake moving around the infield, which he could do on a mostly-normal basis once he’s deemed ready to make an impact at the big league level. The skillset is more well-rounded than explosive, but the feel to hit and adequate power/speed give this profile some value if he can solidify a role with the Braves in the semi-near future.

144. Ryan Jeffers, C, MIN. Age: 23

Jeffers was fantastic during a small sample in his debut season, posting a 119 wRC+ with spectacular framing data to accrue 0.5 fWAR in just 26 games. The .364 BABIP will surely shrink, but the 23-year-old hit the ball plenty hard (41.7% Hard Hit) with a moderate pull rate (30.6%), so it’s possible his BABIP moving forward remains near the top of the spectrum for catchers. There’s some swing and miss in this profile, but there’s also just enough patience to continue posting adequate on base percentages moving forward. Jeffers is likely to continue to split time with Mitch Garver, but it’s the former who could see the majority of the work in 2021 of the latter continues to scuffle offensively. His current NFBC ADP (335.88) speaks to his current value in the redraft world. Make sure he’s also being valued justly in your dynasty leagues.

143. Quinn Priester, RHP, PIT. Age: 20

I remain steadfast on the notion of Priester epitomizing an evolving philosophy within the Pirates’ organization, and the right-hander is off to a good start professionally. Priester sat in the mid-90s (T99) during instructs while also showcasing a plus curveball and advanced strike-throwing ability for someone so young who possesses such an explosive arsenal. The body is great, the bottom half is sturdy and the arm is whippy and clean. It was undoubtedly a productive year for the right-hander despite not logging any ‘official’ innings on the mound. 2021 could very well be the season he cements himself as a top-100 prospect.

142. Deivi Garcia, RHP, NYY. Age: 21

On the surface, it’s hard to make sense of Garcia’s first MLB sample during the sprint season. The movement profile here hints of an elite pitcher, with the right-hander’s fastball, curveball and slider all possessing above average carry or tumble. Despite that, none of the 21-year-old’s four pitches finished the season with an xBA lower than .264. Actually, none of Garcia’s actual or predictive data (other than BB%) finished anywhere close to above average during the 2020 season despite the righty posting a paltry 1.19 WHIP with three pitches boasting a double-digit SwStr%. Put together, this wreaks of a ‘control over command’ sample, which certainly doesn’t pair well with an average fastball velocity of 91.9 MPH. The raw stuff is good enough to miss bats despite this shortcoming, but big league hitters will continue to take advantage of location mistakes in 2021 and beyond. With a current NFBC under 300, I assume I won’t have any shares in redraft leagues this season.

141. Gilberto Jimenez, OF, BOS. Age: 20

This is a weird write-up. I over-ranked Jimenez both on my 2020 preseason and midseason lists, and I was all but committed to moving him down a bit on this version. However, reports regarding the 20-year-old from instructs were borderline erotic, with added muscle and a stance tweak leading to much improved batted ball data without taking too much away from Jimenez’s elite speed. The Red Sox truly believe they have a special player on their hands, so there’s at least a decent chance he sneaks up on a lot of dynasty players in 2021. Don’t let that be you.

140. Slade Cecconi, RHP, ARI. Age: 21

Cecconi’s athleticism on the mound was some of my favorite from the 2020 college draft class, but it appears the profile itself ascended to a new level at the alternate site and during instructs last summer and fall. The Diamondbacks trade for Starling Marte appears to be…. sub-optimal… in retrospect, but Cecconi is already in the process of filling the void left by athletic right-hander Brennan Malone–and then some. Armed with a mid-to-high 90s fastball and a power slider that headline the profile, don’t be surprised if the 21-year-old jumps all the way into the top-100 a year from now.

139. Aaron Sabato, 1B, MIN. Age: 21

Everything else off the table, I think there’s an argument to be made that Sabato is the second best pure hitter amongst college hitters from the 2020 class behind Spencer Torkelson. The batted ball data from his time at North Carolina is elite, and he was certainly drafted by an organization who boasts its ability to get the most from this archetype of prospect. Unfortunately, concerns regarding the 21-year-old’s defensive skills suppress his real-life and fantasy value a bit. Even if he hits enough to project as an everyday first baseman at the big league level, his ETA will likely remain a bit later than we’d like (or we’d expect when looking at his numbers), and he’ll need to mash consistently to retain real-life value with such an unsavory floor. I’m expecting gaudy minor league numbers beginning this season.

138. Ed Howard, SS, CHC. Age: 19

Almost always, evaluating a 19-year-old shortstop prospect means including the words “projectable” and “high ceiling” somewhere in the write-up. Howard might not possess the superstar ceiling that some players in his demographic do, but he makes up for it with defensive prowess and a polished approach that is uncommon for someone with no professional experience. As always, there will almost certainly be some growing pains along the way, but we could end-up being pleasantly surprised with our expectations for Howard once he’s ready to debut at the big league level.

137. Blake Walston, LHP, ARI. Age: 19

Projection is the name of the game here, though I was a bit on the disappointed in the fastball data from instructs this fall. The profile is a bit flipped upside down right now, because it’s the southpaw’s curveball that sets the stage for the holistic arsenal. There’s a strong likelihood the curve finalizes as a 70, making it one of the best hammers amongst pitching prospects on this list. Walston still has plenty of time to continue filling out and increase his fastball velocity, and the frame and arsenal depth both suggest the 19-year-old should remain in the starting rotation as long as the velocity actually ticks-up as he develops. But for now, we’re all ranking the southpaw solely on what his body and pedigree say his fastball should become instead of what it already is. The ceiling remains quite high.

136. Hudson Head, OF, PIT. Age: 19

I admit there’s some guesswork involved regarding Head’s level of development since last spring. There has been very little information available on the outfielder for a while now, but we also have no reason to believe the projection here has taken a nosedive since we last saw him. The ceiling of this profile remains highly disputed, with the teenager’s biggest proponents slapping future 55s or 60s across the board on his tools. Others are a bit more conservative, with a lean towards caution and a skillset chalked full of 5s and 55s. I lean more towards the second group, if for no other reason than the fact I’d like to see the outfielder over the course of a full season before placing such gaudy grades on a highly-projectable prospect. The sky remains the limit here, though I advise proceeding with caution until we have more concrete information. Lastly, no, there’s not a reason to penalize Head’s standing on a prospect list after he was traded from San Diego to Pittsburgh in the Joe Musgrove deal.

135. Jared Oliva, OF, PIT. Age: 25

If your league mates want to discount Oliva’s current dynasty value thanks to a poor, 16 plate appearance sample in the final week of the weirdest MLB season in recent memory, let them. Instead of that tomfoolery, we’ll put more weight on the solid hit tool and plus speed that landed the 25-year-old on this list in the first place. Perhaps the final step amongst the fantasy-relevant tools will be tapping in to more power in game. Oliva has never hit double digit home runs in a single professional season, but it’s a feat he’ll need to accomplish as a big leaguer to warrant this ranking as a top-150 prospect. Let’s hope he can recapture the same magic he displayed during the 2019 Arizona Fall League once baseball (hopefully) returns to normalcy in 2021.

134. Jackson Kowar, RHP, KC. Age: 24

Kowar’s changeup is regarded as the single best pitch in the Royals farm system. He’s throttled back his effort level on the mound to better control his arsenal, which is rounded out by a mid-90s fastball and a breaking ball that’s developed to average once the 24-year-old became a professional. Some were disappointed that Brady Singer and Kris Bubic made their debuts in 2020 while Kowar remained at the alternate site, but one could make the argument a mixture of further refinement and a hesitance to begin the service clock will pay larger dividends down the road. We should see the right-hander at Kauffman Stadium fairly early in 2021.

133. Michael Toglia, 1B, COL. Age: 22

I’m a bit more worried about Toglia missing an entire minor league season than I am other position players who were drafted in 2019 (think Michael Busch and Kody Hoese). More specifically, I feel the 22-year-old’s long-levered swing would have benefitted more in an uncontrolled environment (read: a regular season worth of at-bats) than in simulated games and scrimmages at the alternate site. That’s a bit of a tin foil take, and I’d love to be proven wrong in short order. Unlike many other first base prospects on this list, Toglia has a reliable real-life floor thanks to a strong defensive skillset. The power here is also evident, and the track record of switch hitting first basemen with plus defense is stellar. Moving forward, we simply need a better gauge of the 22-year-old’s hit tool before contemplating a potential move into the top-100.

132. Francisco Alvarez, C, NYM. Age: 19

I’m breaking out in a cold sweat ranking a teenage catching prospect this high. Or maybe it’s the three pots of coffee I’ve consumed in the last 24 hours. Who’s to say? Alvarez has all the makings of the future, top catcher on this fantasy-focused prospect list. Other than his speed on the base-paths, everything the 19-year-old does on a baseball field is above average. As is true with all catching prospects, this development will be a slow burn; in all likelihood, it’ll probably be a bit more of a slow burn than we’d like. But don’t fret, it currently appears Alvarez is headed somewhere special throughout his professional career.

131. Josiah Gray, RHP, LAD. Age: 23

If you’ve been noticing a recent trend of Gray sliding down team and overall prospect lists, it’s because we finally got our hands on his pitch data. The fastball was everything we hoped it would be, with explosive characteristics when elevated in the zone and tremendous arm side run when located elsewhere. Of course, that’s despite the pitch possessing less-than-spectacular velocity. The rest of the arsenal is where concern abounds. The right-hander also features a curveball, slider and changeup, all of which show promise but are presently unrefined and a bit unoptimized. The slider might be the worst of the secondary offerings, but Gray throws it with more confidence than any of his non-fastball pitches. There are times in which each of the right-hander’s four pitches flash above average or better, but connecting the dots and showing that ability on a consistent basis will be what boosts Gray to a middle-of-the-rotation starting pitcher.

130. Tanner Burns, RHP, CLE. Age: 22

Evaluating Tanner Burns is like opening a present and thinking someone got you Apple AirPods only to realize they’re actually Apple AirPods Pro. Even the generic AirPods are a reliable, top-of-the-line vessel used to enjoy listening to your favorite music or other entertainment (in my experience, this was watching Burns pitch at Auburn without his pitch data at my disposal). But the AirPods Pro, which feature an easy transition from Transparency mode to immersive sound, are something different (and better) entirely (watching Burns pitch with the context of his pitch data). I perceived the right-hander as a floor-over-ceiling pitcher leading up to the 2020 MLB Draft. I was wrong, but in the best way possible. The analytics behind Burns’ arsenal–specifically the viability of the fastball–hint at top-of-the-rotation potential here, and he’ll be developed by the Great Pitching Prospect Death Machine in Cleveland. With advanced command, don’t be surprised if–assuming health–Burns is one of the first pitchers from the 2020 class to debut at the big league level.

129. Cade Cavalli, RHP, WAS. Age: 22

I found it funny that Cavalli’s changeup received some love in his brief Spring Training sample, seeing as it’s his fourth best pitch and the worst of his three secondary offerings. I’ve mentioned it before publicly, but I see a lot of Matt Manning in the way Cavalli appears and conducts himself on the mound. The right-hander is a chiseled athlete who has a huge ceiling, and there’s untapped potential here is he continues to learn how to use his immense physical gifts. Strictly from a performance standpoint, consistent strike-throwing and command will likely determine just how high Cavalli can ascend before debuting at the big league level. There was also an arm and back injury during his career at Oklahoma, so durability is something to keep an eye on as he progresses through the Nationals’ minor league system.

128. Tyler Soderstrom, 3B/OF/C, OAK. Age: 19

Soderstrom flies a bit under the radar in the FYPD world compared to the likes of a handful of other prep position players, but he’s an advanced bat who has a non-zero chance to eventually be known as the best of the bunch in retrospect. If the 19-year-old remains behind the plate long-term, it will likely be aided by the impending electronic strike zone and a patient approach to his development. If Oakland opts to simply lean on his offensive skillset, the bat profiles well from the hot corner or right field. It almost feels like a consolation prize to walk away with Soderstrom in an FYPD this offseason, but I’d be a bit surprised if he doesn’t become a staple of the top-200 throughout his minor league career. Patience.

127. Brayan Buelvas, OF, OAK. Age: 18

HYPEEEEEEEEEE. After a brief stint the Dominican Summer League last year, Buelvas was brought stateside for the final 50 days of the summer. In the Arizona League, the outfielder took his game to the next level, posting a 140 wRC+ with 3 home runs and 12 stolen bases despite being more than two years younger than the league’s competition. It was one of the more impressive feats throughout the entirety of the minor leagues last season. Buelvas continued his impressive play this summer at the alternate site this summer, catching the attention of his instructors and evaluators within the Athletics’ organization. The 18-year-old may never hit for plus power in-game, but the tool also won’t weigh down the profile or outlook. The feel to hit is advanced, pairing with Buelvas’ straight-line speed to form the two best limbs of this skillset. There’s also enough athleticism and instincts to remain a centerfielder long term, which raises the real-life floor significantly. If Buelvas continues to perform in full season ball in 2021, he’ll be a shoe-in top-100 prospect in no time.

126. Carlos Colmenarez, SS, TB. Age: 17

Amongst the ‘Big 3’ J2 signees from the most recent signing class, I believe Colmenarez is the most advanced presently. We often go to FanGraphs to have our expectations on certain prospects tempered, but Eric Longenhagen refused to douse the Colmenarez flame on his recent, Rays prospect list. No future tool worse than a 55? Inject it into my veins. The expectations here are quite lofty, especially since he’ll be developed within the same organization that’s recently had a bit of success developing another, unnamed J2 prospect. As always, patience will be a virtue throughout the early stages of the teenager’s professional career.

125. Kameron Misner, OF, MIA. Age: 23

Your evaluation of Misner likely hinges on how your project the hit tool. The athleticism relative to the frame is uncommon; for now, the outfielder carries both elite power and plus speed in a 6-foot-4 frame, the latter of which could take a step back as he ages. Misner has reportedly taken to the instruction of offensive coordinator James Rowson well, which is a common theme throughout the Marlins system throughout the past calendar year. Projecting the hit tool to reach league average feels a bit too optimistic presently, though fringe average (45) appears within the realm of possibility. It should be enough for the 23-year-old to become quite a terror both in real life and in the fantasy world, especially if he can stick in centerfield through at the least the first portion of his professional career.

Read my thorough puff piece on Marlins breakout candidate Trevor Rogers.

124. Wilman Diaz, SS, LAD. Age: 17

If Carlos Colmenarez (write-up above) is presently the most advanced and Cristian Hernandez (write-up below) is the most athletic with the best chance to stick at shortstop long-term, Diaz boasts the highest ceiling amongst the ‘Big 3’ J2 signees from the most recent signing class. If you turn your head a certain way, it’s not too hard to imagine the teenager becoming a premium power threat who also possesses an adequate hit tool. Amongst the Big 3, I think Diaz is currently the most likely to eventually shift to a different defensive position. As is the theme with any recent J2 signee on this list, it’s impossible to speak in definitives with such little new video or reports on the 17-year-old. That should change one Diaz takes part in complex competition or instructs this summer or fall.

123. Nick Lodolo, LHP, CIN. Age: 23

In-person evaluators have really soured on Lodolo’s fastball since last preseason, which really lowers the floor of this profile. It took the 23-year-old a while to get fully revved up at the alternate site this summer, and his fastball struggled to miss bats while possessing more horizontal run than movement that typically misses bats. The curveball remains his best pitch and the changeup continues to evolve, but this looks more like SP4 territory than the top-of-the-rotation bulldog we projected a year ago. There’s still some projection remaining in Lodolo’s 6-foot-6 frame, so maybe we see a tangible step forward in 2021.

122. Cristian Hernandez, SS, CHC. Age: 17

Teamed with Wilman Diaz and Carlos Colmenarez, I believe Hernandez has the best chance to stick at shortstop long-term. That may seem like splitting hairs in the big picture, but it’s an important data point for now when we have such little (non-regurgitated) information on the trio published elsewhere. The 17-year-old is lean, athletic and loose. He’s a ‘this is what they look like’ prospect we’ll likely have to do a bit of guesswork on until we see him ourselves when he debuts stateside. With minor league realignment launching this season, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Hernandez at the Cubs’ complex at some point this summer or fall.

121. Bryson Stott, SS, PHI. Age: 23

Stott and Braden Shewmake (listed about 20 spots above) are a fun duo in this section of the list, seeing as I’ve forever intertwined the duo in my mind from their amateur days. Stott has gained some strength since he was drafted, which has allowed him to tap-in to more of his power at the plate. Instructors at the alternate site were also impressed with Stott’s ability to handle left-handed pitching, which can often be a plague amongst left-handed hitting, position playing prospects. Mix everything together, and you form a well-rounded player whose most likely destination is everyday playing time at the big league level in the not-too-distant future. With a fairly clear organizational path to Philadelphia, we can only hope Dave Dombrowski doesn’t pull the trigger on a trade before Stott is ready to debut.

120. Nick Bitsko, RHP, TB. Age: 18

Unequivocally heralded as one of the top pitching prospects from the 2020 MLB Draft class, surgery to repair a labrum injury in Bitsko’s right shoulder has the teenager in free fall throughout the prospect world before he ever throws a competitive pitch as a professional. While it’s troubling anytime a pitcher goes under the knife with any sort of arm injury, I’m not ready to hit the panic button yet. Bitsko reclassified from the class of 2021 last winter, which made him one of the youngest prep players in this summer’s draft class. Assuming he returns to full health, he’ll have the advantage of refining his mechanics and arsenal within one of the league’s best developmental organizations. And oh yeah, the raw stuff is pretty good too. I’m buying the dip we’re currently receiving in FYPD and dynasty launch drafts.

119. Miguel Amaya, C, CHC. Age: 22

Opportunity, opportunity, opportunity. A catching prospect must have it to be worth his weight on a fantasy-focused prospect list. Fortunately for Amaya, it appears Willson Contreras may soon find himself exiting the Windy City as the Cubs hit an organizational reset button. With backup catcher Victor Caratini already traded to the Padres, the 22-year-old could find himself with a golden opportunity in short order. In my eyes, concerns regarding Amaya failing to access his power in-game have been a bit exaggerated, especially since he played the entirety of the 2019 season in the pitcher-friendly and spacious Florida State League. The Cubs are extremely high on Amaya internally; if Contreras is officially moved, the 22-year-old’s big league ETA will solely depend on when the organization wants to start his service clock.

118. Jeremiah Jackson, SS, LAA. Age: 21

By all accounts, Jackson remains a high-variance prospect with an appetizing power/speed combination who will continue to endure some growing pains thanks to crude contact skills. Despite a high strikeout rate in non-full season ball, there’s still plenty of floor here thanks to a premium defensive position, thunder in the bat and impact on the base-paths. With a high pulled fly ball rate and brow-raising counting stats, I could see Jackson eventually becoming a Lite version of fellow middle infield prospect Jeter Downs.

117. Kody Hoese, 3B, LAD. Age: 23

Like several others on this list, Hoese fits into the ‘recently drafted college bat who missed what should have been his first full professional season’ demographic. It’s very interesting that the 23-year-old saw reps at shortstop at the Dodgers’ alternate site, though I’m fairly confident he’ll see the majority of his professional playing time at the hot corner (second base is an option, too). There’s nothing overly spectacular about the skillset, though Hoese’s natural ability to elevate the ball makes it easy to believe he’ll eventually reach his power potential (20-25 home runs seems like the most likely outcome). Armed with a skillset full of 5s, let’s hope Los Angeles is able to work his magic with a prospect who should rise quickly through the minors.

116. Brendan McKay, LHP, TB. Age: 25

Following up a lousy first stint in the big leagues in 2019 with a completely washed 2020 campaign (COVID then shoulder surgery) has allowed this profile and outlook to trend in the wrong direction. I’m not all that worried about the stuff itself; upon a hypothetical return to the big league mound, I suspect the batted ball outcomes would bounce back relative to the horrid outcomes from 2019. In my eyes, the issue has now become the role. Even without Blake Snell, the Rays have soooooo much talent at the big league level and in the upper levels of the minors. McKay will really have to set himself apart in order to unequivocally take the ball every fifth day with the expectation to maneuver his way through a batting order 2-3 times. The 25-year-old has the frame and track record to become that workhorse that would make him immune to being piggybacked or opened for in Tampa Bay. Unfortunately, I’ve arrived at the point I need to see it to believe it.

Read our Justin Choi’s work on how James McCann complements the Mets’ starting rotation. 

115. Andy Pages, OF, LAD. Age: 20

At this point, the deeply elite batted ball data and ability to elevate the ball on command should come as little surprise to you. What is a bit surprising is the fact the Dodgers seem to believe Pages has a chance to stick in center field defensively. My money is still on the 20-year-old eventually settling in one of the corners, but who am I to question Los Angeles’ thought process here? Continuing to lift the ball with authority without sacrificing too much of the hit tool will perhaps be the top bullet point of Pages’ fantasy-relevant development moving forward.

114. Heriberto Hernandez, 1B/OF. TB. Age: 21

Hernandez was one of the best position playing prospects during instructs in Arizona, and he’s since been traded to one of the best developmental orgs in the sport. I’m endlessly intrigued to see how the Rays evaluate his defense, but the 21-year-old possesses some of the most elite batted ball data of any prospect currently in the minor leagues. That defensive question marks once hindered his outlook and ranking, but the bat has developed to the point you make sure he’s rostered in your dynasty league and worry about the rest later.

113. Alejandro Kirk, C, TOR. Age: 22

An extremely interesting prospect to evaluate and rank, Kirk should graduate from prospect status early in 2021 as he likely opens the season in Toronto. The 22-year-old is obviously a flawed defensive catcher, but the batted ball data places him amongst the most elite players at the position. Throw in the probability of the implementation of an electronic strike zone at the big league level beginning in 2022 or shortly thereafter, there’s a real possibility Kirk sticks behind the plate far longer than most expect. I also believe there’s at least a chance the offensive skillset is so good, he sees time at DH on days he doesn’t catch. It’s a unique culmination of skills with a body we can’t disregard, but the ceiling here is quite high nonetheless.

112. Jonathan India, 2B/3B, CIN. Age: 24

India continues to slide down prospect lists as concerns grow that the 24-year-old will never maximize the full extent of his power in-game. The approach itself is solid, and India’s calling card may end up being his ability to reach base at a high clip. Last preseason, I comped the infielder to Brian Anderson, which I believe holds up well a year later. Just know that—unless he unlocks more of his raw power in meaningful at-bats—you’re probably looking at a fantasy corner infielder instead of a player you gladly plug at third base.

111. Oswald Peraza, SS, NYY. Age: 20

The prospect and dynasty world continues to sleep; we continue to take advantage. If Peraza is somehow still available in your dynasty league, consider yourself fortunate the 2020 minor league season was canceled. I’ve been hyping-up the 20-year-old since last winter, and I recently included him in my ‘All Buy’ team of the 2020-2021 offseason. A simple reminder: there’s still premium defense, a feel to hit, plus speed and emerging power within this profile. Despite having only accrued 208 full season plate appearances (at the end of 2019), Peraza was recently added to the Yankees’ 40-man roster, which is a positive sign that our evaluation of this skillset is at least in the right neighborhood. Somehow, the shortstop is still on the outside looking in on most top-200 prospect lists. Not for much longer.

110. Dane Dunning, RHP, TEX. Age: 26

Dunning belongs in this range of this list thanks to a stellar MLB debut and a clear-cut rotation opportunity in 2021 alone. In the past, I would take a moment to lament about an MLB-ready pitcher having to pitch his home games at the Rangers’ ballpark. Instead, Globe Life Field was friendly to pitchers in 2020, which is another mark of positivity towards the 26-year-old’s short and long term outlook. Dunning won’t be immune to the ebbs and flows of a young pitcher who possesses a less-than-elite arsenal, but there’s enough bat missing and ground ball inducing stuff here to form a reliable starting pitcher who teeters between low-end SP3 and high-end SP4 moving forward. The stuff has ticked up nicely since the right-hander recovered from Tommy John surgery.

Our Adam Ehrenreich took a stab at predicting fantasy first rounders…. for next season. Read it here.

109. Erick Pena, OF, KC. Age: 18

I remain alone on my Robert Puason > Erick Pena island. What exactly has happened in the past twelve months to allow Pena’s stock to increase while Puason’s diminishes? Four bonafide facts: Puason is more athletic than Pena. Puason has more bat speed than Pena. Puason has more speed than Pena. Puason plays a more valuable defensive position than Pena. Is the disparity between the hit tools and contact skills wide enough to warrant the moves we seen between these two since last preseason? My hunch is no. Both are intriguing, high-ceiling prospects who need to prove themselves against competitive pitching before we completely fall head-over-heels in love with them. Pena continues to add good weight to a frame that appears ripe for muscle, and–based on the video I’ve seen this winter—it wouldn’t surprise me to learn he’s added an inch of height since we saw him at the complex last fall.

108. Robert Puason, SS, OAK. Age: 18

A common theme I’ve witnessed throughout the dynasty world during a pandemic plagued 2020: young, raw prospects with high ceilings and low floors have been disproportionately penalized compared to other demographics. I mean, recently-drafted 24-year-olds who have yet to play in full season ball get the benefit of the doubt, but 18-year-olds (who are admittedly more raw) in the same boat don’t? What a time to be alive. Puason was praised for his work ethic at the alternate site this summer, and what was once an extremely lean frame is beginning to bulk up. I haven’t read, heard or seen anything to make me walk back the notion that Puason possesses top overall prospect potential.

107. Shane Baz, RHP, TB. Age: 21

I jumped the gun a bit regarding Baz in last preseason’s version of this list, and I’m correcting that error here. The right-hander’s fastball is fantastic, with premium velocity and nearly 20 inches of vMOV making it a dynamic pitch when it’s properly located. Unfortunately, that’s often the issue for the 21-year-old. The last time we saw Baz on the mound, you really had to crane your neck to project the command to ever reach league average. Considering how finicky the Rays can be with the roles their pitchers undertake at the big league level, I have more pause here than I did a calendar year ago. The arsenal is deep and powerful, so if the command ever fully clicks, this write-up will be rendered useless and hilarious. Baz is fully bought in to development-by-analytics, so there’s certainly a chance this happens.

106. Jhoan Duran, RHP, MIN. Age: 23

Not going to make a habit of this, but take a second to re-read my report on Duran from last preseason: I caught Duran in the Southern League late last summer, pitching against a Mississippi Braves lineup that had just lost Cristian Pache and Drew Waters to promotions. The right-hander still faced Braden Shewmake, Trey Harris, Greyson Jenista, William Contreras and Lane Adams, so I thought it was a good spot for a valid evaluation. The right-hander is a beast of a pitcher, listed at 6-foot-5 and 230 pounds (it might be more) with a tree trunk lower half. This offseason, I told any contact who asked that you can ‘feel’ Duran’s mound presence because of his frame and the way he carries himself. The stuff is electric, but it still has work to do before the 22-year-old debuts in the big leagues. The fastball sits 95-97 and touches triple digits when he needs it. It’s a low spin pitch that best plays low in the zone with sinker qualities, so I worry about its future strikeout viability against big league hitters (as is typical with sinkers, it’ll be better at inducing ground outs than strikeouts). The curveball is the real deal, acting as Duran’s ‘out’ pitch that he can also throw for strikes. I also got the impression that the right-hander’s delivery (and the fact he finishes to the first base side of the rubber) allows the pitch to play even better than it already is. At 2500 RPM with solid command, it would play in the big leagues right now. He also throws a hard splitter that has sinking action, but it’s clearly Duran’s third pitch currently. If the feel improves, I expect it to pair nicely with the fastball at the bottom of the zone. Duran induced 12 swinging strikes in 85 pitches (14.1%) the night I saw him. The curveball will carry the profile, but Duran has the arsenal and body to take the ball every fifth day at the big league level. There’s mid-tier SP3 upside here, especially if Duran harnesses the splitter as he finalizes his development.” A year later with very little new info (thanks, tight-lipped Twins), I get some “taller Frankie Montas” vibes from this profile. That’s both a compliment and a hypothetical, upper-percentile outcome, by the way.

105. Forrest Whitley, RHP, HOU. Age: 23

Ugh. Whitley has now been shut down in two consecutive seasons thanks to shoulder fatigue. In 2020, it likely cost him a big league debut. The 23-year-old is such a frustrating prospect to evaluate because he has so many elite ingredients. The raw stuff is ridiculous both to the naked eye as well as under the analytic hood. The frame embodies the term ‘prototypical’. Yet, something’s missing. Whitley’s command deteriorated during the 2019 season, and—to my eye—he struggled with mechanical repeatability during Spring Training last season. He reportedly was solid in limited action at the Astros alternate site this summer, and he was added to the 40-man roster and declared healthy. The Astros hang their hat on getting the most from their players; with someone with Whitley’s talent and good health, it seems as though Houston should be able to accomplish that feat relatively easy here. Of course, that’s been far easier said than done to this point, and the 23-year-old’s value in dynasty league seems to become increasingly shaky the longer he remains in the minor leagues or on the injured list. It goes without saying that 2021 will be absolutely critical to the outlook here. NOTE: Yikes

104. Sherten Apostel, IF, TEX. Age: 22

Surprisingly thrust into a big league role in 2020 after not seeing pitching above High-A, Apostel was more useful in the fantasy team name category than he was in your starting lineup. The subsequent numbers post-promotion are about what you’d expect from someone with Apostel’s limited full season experience, though it shouldn’t lead to a permanent mark against the profile itself. At his best, the 22-year-old is a power first middle infielder who should be more valuable in OBP leagues than AVG leagues thanks to a solid walk rate. Normalcy (and minor league pitching) should do Apostel some good in 2021.

103. Austin Hendrick, OF, CIN. Age: 19

If you followed Hendrick as an amateur, you know there’s ginormous power within this profile. You’re also aware of the hit tool concerns stemming from some struggles versus advanced pitching throughout the summer leading up to his (canceled) senior season. His largest detractors have gone as far as slapping a future 40 on the tool, which is a full grade below average. Throw in some skepticism of the defensive skills and the fact Hendrick was old for his draft demographic, and you seemingly arrive at a player with more question marks than exclamation points. The reports from the alternate site and fall instructional league were very positive, and–in my eyes–there’s too much talent within this profile to write Hendrick off before we receive any sort of tangible sample versus minor league pitching. There’s certainly a decent chance the 19-year-old is a better fantasy player than real-life stalwart at peak, but I’m willing to let the Reds cook before worrying too much about the floor.

102. Michael Harris, OF, ATL. Age: 20

Michael Harris is a perfect example of how quickly things can evolve in the prospect world. Once drafted as a bit of an undersized outfielder with interesting tools, the 20-year-old has evolved into an advanced, athletic specimen who quickly made a name for himself at the Braves alternate site last summer and again this spring in Spring Training. There are people well connected to Atlanta’s organization who believe Harris is better than fellow outfield prospect Drew Waters. Let me say that again: There are people well connected to Atlanta’s organization who believe Harris is better than Drew Waters. A two-way player in high school who only began to focus solely on the skills of an outfielder after he was drafted, the 20-year-old now boasts an advanced plate approach, a solid hat tool, surprising all-fields power and above average speed. The power was recently put on display during Spring Training, when Harris hit an opposite field home run against Rays relief pitcher Pete Fairbanks. Despite only being 20 years old and having accrued just 212 minor league plate appearances, there’s an outside chance Harris debuts in Atlanta at some point this season. Yes, it appears the organization is that high on him. A 2022 debut is probably more likely, but don’t be surprised if Harris caps-off his impending breakout with a stint at Truist Park before the end of the summer. Buckle up.

101. Liover Peguero, SS, PIT. Age: 20

Never forget the Diamondbacks traded Peguero and Brennan Malone for 35 games of Starling Marte. Yikes. There are some ‘better real life player than fantasy player’ traits here, including middling present power and quite a bit of his overall value resting on strong defense up the middle. In an ideal world, fellow Pirates prospect Oneil Cruz eventually shifts to the hot corner or the outfield, which would pave the way for Peguero to become Pittsburgh’s everyday shortstop. From a fantasy standpoint, you’re leaning on solid on base skills and present speed while crossing your fingers the power eventually reaches league average.

Make sure you’ve read the #151-200 portion of my 2021 top-200 prospect list.

Follow us on Twitter! @Prospects365

Featured image courtesy of site graphic designer Dorian Redden. Follow him on Twitter (@dRedden26) and Instagram (@d26gfx)

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